Guernsey
No El Niño news coverage for Guernsey in the last year. The score is built from the measured climate anomaly below, the canonical weak signal signal, and population exposure — not from headlines.
81.6 mm vs 158.4 mm normal
Measured against the 1991–2020 average for the same calendar window.
18.45°C mean vs 16.47°C normal
Mean 2 m air temperature vs the 1991–2020 average for the same window.
No robust, reproducible El Niño teleconnection for this country.
NASA POWER (MERRA-2) reanalysis, 9 Jul 2026 – 6 Oct 2026, sampled at the country centroid (49.5°, -2.6°). Normals are 1991–2020. How this is computed
When it matters
Agricultural calendar for Guernsey and where the El Niño impact window falls
Last 12 months vs normal
Observed monthly rainfall against the 1991–2020 climatology
Nearby
Other countries in Northern Europe