Every El Niño since 1950, on one line.
The ONI is the 3-month running mean of sea-surface temperature anomaly in the central Pacific (Niño 3.4). Shaded areas are seasons beyond ±0.5°C. NOAA declares an episode after five consecutive overlapping seasons past the threshold.
Right now · JAS 2026
+2.16°C
El Niño conditions, very strong
- Trend
- +0.36 vs previous season
- Run
- 4 consecutive seasons past ±0.5
- Ranking
- Would rank #3 of 23 El Niño peaks since 1950
- Strength
- very strong
El Niño episodes, by peak
- 2014–16 +2.6 very strong
- 1997–98 +2.4 very strong
- 1982–83 +2.1 very strong
- 2023–24 +2.0 strong
- 1972–73 +1.8 strong
- 1965–66 +1.8 strong
- 1957–58 +1.7 strong
- 1991–92 +1.5 strong
- 2009–10 +1.5 strong
- 1986–88 +1.5 moderate
- 1963–64 +1.2 moderate
- 2002–03 +1.2 moderate
- 2018–19 +1.1 moderate
- 1951–52 +1.0 moderate
- 1968–69 +1.0 weak
- 1994–95 +1.0 weak
- 2006–07 +0.9 weak
- 1976–77 +0.8 weak
- 1977–78 +0.8 weak
- 1953 +0.8 weak
- 2019–20 +0.8 weak
- 2004–05 +0.7 weak
La Niña episodes, by peak
- 1973–74 -2.0 very strong
- 1988–89 -1.9 strong
- 2007–08 -1.8 strong
- 1955–56 -1.6 strong
- 1974–76 -1.6 strong
- 2010–11 -1.6 strong
- 1998–00 -1.5 strong
- 1970–72 -1.4 moderate
- 1950–51 -1.3 moderate
- 2020–21 -1.1 moderate
- 1984–85 -1.1 moderate
- 1995–96 -1.1 moderate
- 2011–12 -1.0 moderate
- 1983–84 -1.0 weak
- 2021–23 -0.9 weak
- 2008–09 -0.9 weak
- 2005–06 -0.9 weak
- 1964–65 -0.8 weak
- 2000–01 -0.8 weak
- 2017–18 -0.8 weak
Source: NOAA Climate Prediction Center, ONI (ERSSTv5). Refreshed daily. Season labels are 3-month windows: DJF = Dec–Feb, centred on January.