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Heard Island and McDonald Islands

Minimal impact · 2/10 Weak signal in El Niño years

No El Niño news coverage for Heard Island and McDonald Islands in the last year. The score is built from the measured climate anomaly below, the canonical weak signal signal, and population exposure — not from headlines.

RAINFALL · LAST 90 DAYS
+38%

412.1 mm vs 298.9 mm normal

Measured against the 1991–2020 average for the same calendar window.

TEMPERATURE · LAST 90 DAYS
+0.4°C

0.86°C mean vs 0.43°C normal

Mean 2 m air temperature vs the 1991–2020 average for the same window.

SIGNAL CHECK
Weak signal

No robust, reproducible El Niño teleconnection for this country.

NASA POWER (MERRA-2) reanalysis, 9 Jul 2026 – 6 Oct 2026, sampled at the country centroid (-53.1°, 72.5°). Normals are 1991–2020. How this is computed

Last 12 months vs normal

Observed monthly rainfall against the 1991–2020 climatology

050100150Nov2025: 81.8 mm (normal 87.9 mm)NovDec2025: 95.5 mm (normal 86.4 mm)DecJan2026: 102.5 mm (normal 90.1 mm)JanFeb2026: 126 mm (normal 98.8 mm)FebMar2026: 126.4 mm (normal 117.6 mm)MarApr2026: 147.9 mm (normal 120 mm)AprMay2026: 126.9 mm (normal 118.7 mm)MayJun2026: 110.4 mm (normal 103.3 mm)JunJul2026: 121.5 mm (normal 110.4 mm)JulAug2026: 159.2 mm (normal 107.9 mm)AugSep2026: 130.2 mm (normal 90.3 mm)Sep
Observed monthly rain (mm) 1991–2020 normal

Nearby

Other countries in Antarctic

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