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Jersey

Minimal impact · 2/10 Weak signal in El Niño years

No El Niño news coverage for Jersey in the last year. The score is built from the measured climate anomaly below, the canonical weak signal signal, and population exposure — not from headlines.

RAINFALL · LAST 90 DAYS
-51%

83.9 mm vs 172.8 mm normal

Measured against the 1991–2020 average for the same calendar window.

TEMPERATURE · LAST 90 DAYS
+2.4°C

19.18°C mean vs 16.82°C normal

Mean 2 m air temperature vs the 1991–2020 average for the same window.

SIGNAL CHECK
Weak signal

No robust, reproducible El Niño teleconnection for this country.

NASA POWER (MERRA-2) reanalysis, 9 Jul 2026 – 6 Oct 2026, sampled at the country centroid (49.3°, -2.2°). Normals are 1991–2020. How this is computed

When it matters

Agricultural calendar for Jersey and where the El Niño impact window falls

JFMAMJJASOND
Growing season
Spring planting
Harvest
Rainy seasonPlantingHarvest

Last 12 months vs normal

Observed monthly rainfall against the 1991–2020 climatology

050100150Nov2025: 55.4 mm (normal 107.3 mm)NovDec2025: 61 mm (normal 111.6 mm)DecJan2026: 139.2 mm (normal 90.4 mm)JanFeb2026: 112.1 mm (normal 73.7 mm)FebMar2026: 26.7 mm (normal 61.7 mm)MarApr2026: 7.6 mm (normal 56.2 mm)AprMay2026: 25.1 mm (normal 53.5 mm)MayJun2026: 32.2 mm (normal 51.4 mm)JunJul2026: 4.5 mm (normal 48 mm)JulAug2026: 35.8 mm (normal 56.9 mm)AugSep2026: 39.3 mm (normal 64.4 mm)Sep
Observed monthly rain (mm) 1991–2020 normal

Nearby

Other countries in Northern Europe

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Anomalies, signal, sectors and score side by side — on one shareable URL.