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United States Minor Outlying Islands

Minimal impact · 2/10 Weak signal in El Niño years

No El Niño news coverage for United States Minor Outlying Islands in the last year. The score is built from the measured climate anomaly below, the canonical weak signal signal, and population exposure — not from headlines.

RAINFALL · LAST 90 DAYS
+110%

705.8 mm vs 335.6 mm normal

Measured against the 1991–2020 average for the same calendar window.

TEMPERATURE · LAST 90 DAYS
+1.0°C

29.03°C mean vs 28.04°C normal

Mean 2 m air temperature vs the 1991–2020 average for the same window.

SIGNAL CHECK
Weak signal

No robust, reproducible El Niño teleconnection for this country.

NASA POWER (MERRA-2) reanalysis, 9 Jul 2026 – 6 Oct 2026, sampled at the country centroid (19.3°, 166.6°). Normals are 1991–2020. How this is computed

Last 12 months vs normal

Observed monthly rainfall against the 1991–2020 climatology

050100150200250300350Nov2025: 46.8 mm (normal 34.2 mm)NovDec2025: 27.4 mm (normal 22.5 mm)DecJan2026: 28 mm (normal 23 mm)JanFeb2026: 25.1 mm (normal 21 mm)FebMar2026: 43.2 mm (normal 26.9 mm)MarApr2026: 24.3 mm (normal 27.3 mm)AprMay2026: 14.3 mm (normal 21.8 mm)MayJun2026: 29.1 mm (normal 25 mm)JunJul2026: 76.1 mm (normal 75.3 mm)JulAug2026: 358.3 mm (normal 132 mm)AugSep2026: 261.7 mm (normal 127.8 mm)Sep
Observed monthly rain (mm) 1991–2020 normal

Nearby

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