elniohno
ENSO PHASE El Niño conditions, very strong El Niño, very strong
El Niño–Southern Oscillation

The Pacific climate cycle that shifts global rainfall and temperature. NOAA declares an episode after 5 consecutive overlapping seasons beyond ±0.5°C.

4 consecutive seasons past threshold

 ONI · JAS 2026 +2.2↗ ONI, last 24 seasons
Oceanic Niño Index

3-month running mean of sea-surface temperature anomaly in the Niño 3.4 region (°C). ≥ +0.5 is El Niño territory; ≤ −0.5 is La Niña.

+0.36 vs previous season
NOAA UPDATED 10 Oct 2026
Middle Africa Pop. 1.9M Capital: Malabo 0 articles · no recent coverage

Equatorial Guinea

Minimal impact · 2/10 Weak signal in El Niño years

No El Niño news coverage for Equatorial Guinea in the last year. The score is built from the measured climate anomaly below, the canonical weak signal signal, and population exposure — not from headlines.

RAINFALL · LAST 90 DAYS
+28%

551.4 mm vs 432.4 mm normal

Measured against the 1991–2020 average for the same calendar window.

TEMPERATURE · LAST 90 DAYS
+0.5°C

24.22°C mean vs 23.68°C normal

Mean 2 m air temperature vs the 1991–2020 average for the same window.

SIGNAL CHECK
Weak signal

No robust, reproducible El Niño teleconnection for this country.

NASA POWER (MERRA-2) reanalysis, 9 Jul 2026 – 6 Oct 2026, sampled at the country centroid (2.0°, 10.0°). Normals are 1991–2020. How this is computed

When it matters

Agricultural calendar for Equatorial Guinea and where the El Niño impact window falls

JFMAMJJASOND
Growing season
Spring planting
Harvest
Rainy seasonPlantingHarvest

Last 12 months vs normal

Observed monthly rainfall against the 1991–2020 climatology

050100150200250300350Nov2025: 196.8 mm (normal 334.1 mm)NovDec2025: 108.1 mm (normal 161.8 mm)DecJan2026: 82 mm (normal 128.6 mm)JanFeb2026: 103.3 mm (normal 143.3 mm)FebMar2026: 199.1 mm (normal 250.4 mm)MarApr2026: 221.7 mm (normal 263 mm)AprMay2026: 149.8 mm (normal 239.1 mm)MayJun2026: 80.5 mm (normal 133.5 mm)JunJul2026: 43.8 mm (normal 76.1 mm)JulAug2026: 72.7 mm (normal 107.4 mm)AugSep2026: 302.7 mm (normal 217 mm)Sep
Observed monthly rain (mm) 1991–2020 normal

Nearby

Neighbouring countries

Cameroon 4/10 Moderate Weak signal Gabon 3/10 Minimal Weak signal Chad 10/10 Severe drier Angola 6/10 High drier South Sudan 5/10 Moderate Weak signal DR Congo 4/10 Moderate Weak signal

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