South-Eastern Asia Pop. 6.1M Capital: Singapore 5 articles · good coverage

Singapore

Moderate impact · 5/10 Typically hotter in El Niño years
What changed since 9 Oct 2026

Score moved 4 → 5 . “Record-strength El Niño turns up the heat on Singapore — and the haze risk is back on the table”

A record-strength El Niño, described by scientists as entering uncharted territory, is driving hotter-than-normal conditions across Singapore and the wider ASEAN region. Measured temperatures for July–October 2026 came in at +0.9°C above normal, matching the heat signal the articles flag as the canonical El Niño impact for the island. The dry season itself is climatologically dry, but the articles warn that the coming wet-season rains could be delayed or weakened, while regional fuel and food supply chains face added strain.

Sources: [1][2][3] · AI-summarised from 5 articles
RAINFALL · LAST 90 DAYS
Unverified

The reanalysis value for this window is far outside anything in the 1991–2020 record, so we withhold it rather than publish a likely data artifact.

The dry season (Jun–Oct) is climatologically dry, and the articles warn that El Niño conditions are likely to suppress the onset of the coming wet-season rains, with no meaningful percentage anomaly for the dry window itself.

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TEMPERATURE · LAST 90 DAYS
+0.9°C

27.99°C mean vs 27.03°C normal

Measured mean temperatures for July–October 2026 ran +0.9°C above normal, consistent with the hotter-than-average conditions the articles attribute to the record-strength El Niño.

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SIGNAL CHECK
On schedule

Singapore's agricultural calendar is dominated by imported food supply, and the articles indicate the main regional rice harvest and planting cycles are broadly on schedule but exposed to El Niño-driven heat and haze through the Aug–Nov peak impact window.

NASA POWER (MERRA-2) reanalysis, 9 Jul 2026 – 6 Oct 2026, sampled at the country centroid (1.4°, 103.8°). Normals are 1991–2020. How this is computed

When it matters

Agricultural calendar for Singapore and where the El Niño impact window falls

JFMAMJJASOND
Peak El Niño impact
Wet season
Dry season
Main rice planting
Main rice harvest
Peak El Niño impactRainy seasonDry seasonPlantingHarvest Now inside the peak-impact window. Drought, peat & forest fires, haze, delayed wet season.

Last 12 months vs normal

Observed monthly rainfall against the 1991–2020 climatology

01002003004005006007008009001000110012001300140015001600170018001900200021002200230024002500260027002800290030003100320033003400350036003700380039004000410042004300440045004600Nov2025: 304.5 mm (normal 276.7 mm)NovDec2025: 1648 mm (normal 302.8 mm)DecJan2026: 4226.2 mm (normal 208.5 mm)JanFeb2026: 2601.6 mm (normal 102.9 mm)FebMar2026: 3840.1 mm (normal 163 mm)MarApr2026: 2903.4 mm (normal 190.6 mm)AprMay2026: 3509.3 mm (normal 184.9 mm)MayJun2026: 4044.5 mm (normal 157 mm)JunJul2026: 4019.8 mm (normal 170.6 mm)JulAug2026: 2768.3 mm (normal 169.1 mm)AugSep2026: 137.3 mm (normal 155.6 mm)Sep
Observed monthly rain (mm) 1991–2020 normal

Sector by sector

Agriculture

Imported food supply — especially regional rice — is exposed to El Niño-driven harvest shortfalls and price volatility, though Singapore's own growing calendar remains on schedule.

Water & flooding

The dry season is climatologically dry, but the articles warn the coming wet-season rains may be delayed or suppressed, raising medium-term reservoir replenishment concerns.

Health

Hotter conditions raise heat-stress risk for outdoor workers, while the articles' wildfire focus points to transboundary haze that could aggravate respiratory illness.

Energy

The articles highlight an Asian fuel crisis that a Super El Niño could worsen, with higher cooling demand and supply-chain pressure likely to lift energy costs.

Fisheries

Warmer seas and shifting currents associated with a record El Niño are expected to disrupt regional fish stocks and aquaculture yields that supply Singapore's markets.

What happened last time

Past El Niño episodes and how Singapore responded. See the full ENSO timeline →

2023-24

A strong El Niño amplified global temperature records and regional dryness, reinforcing Singapore's exposure to heat and haze episodes.

unsourced background

2015-16

A powerful El Niño contributed to record global heat and a severe Southeast Asian haze crisis that pushed Singapore's air quality into unhealthy ranges.

unsourced background

1997-98

One of the strongest El Niño events on record brought severe regional drought and a prolonged transboundary haze episode that blanketed Singapore in 1997.

unsourced background

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