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Libya

Minimal impact · 2/10 Weak signal in El Niño years

No El Niño news coverage for Libya in the last year. The score is built from the measured climate anomaly below, the canonical weak signal signal, and population exposure — not from headlines.

RAINFALL · LAST 90 DAYS
Dry season

8.9 mm vs 2.1 mm normal — too little rain in this window for a % to mean anything

Measured against the 1991–2020 average for the same calendar window.

TEMPERATURE · LAST 90 DAYS
+0.8°C

30.97°C mean vs 30.19°C normal

Mean 2 m air temperature vs the 1991–2020 average for the same window.

SIGNAL CHECK
Weak signal

No robust, reproducible El Niño teleconnection for this country.

NASA POWER (MERRA-2) reanalysis, 9 Jul 2026 – 6 Oct 2026, sampled at the country centroid (25.0°, 17.0°). Normals are 1991–2020. How this is computed

When it matters

Agricultural calendar for Libya and where the El Niño impact window falls

JFMAMJJASOND
Winter rains
Wheat harvest
Rainy seasonHarvest

Last 12 months vs normal

Observed monthly rainfall against the 1991–2020 climatology

0100200300400500600700Nov2025: 0 mm (normal 1.1 mm)NovDec2025: 660 mm (normal 1.4 mm)DecJan2026: 0.1 mm (normal 3 mm)JanFeb2026: 0 mm (normal 3.2 mm)FebMar2026: 2 mm (normal 1.3 mm)MarApr2026: 0 mm (normal 1 mm)AprMay2026: 4.3 mm (normal 1.3 mm)MayJun2026: 0.1 mm (normal 0.9 mm)JunJul2026: 0 mm (normal 0.9 mm)JulAug2026: 0 mm (normal 0 mm)AugSep2026: 8.9 mm (normal 0.3 mm)Sep
Observed monthly rain (mm) 1991–2020 normal

Nearby

Neighbouring countries

Compare Libya with another country

Anomalies, signal, sectors and score side by side — on one shareable URL.